Monday, 23 April 2012

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Market indices postive

Market indices closed on a positive note relative to last week's holiday-shortened week, with the ASPI gaining 31.40 points (0.58%) and the MPI gaining 14.27 points (0.29%). The ASPI closed at 5457.13 points while the MPI closed at 4923.57.

Turnover value for the week was led by JKH which contributed 24.37% to total market turnover amounting to LKR 457.94million. National Development Bank and Commercial Bank of Ceylon Plc too made significant contributions of 7.76% and 4.91%, respectively. Total weekly turnover value amounted to Rs. 1.88 billion, averaging LKR 375.88mn, compared to last week's daily average of Rs.163.21mn to represent a gain of over 100%. Market Capitalization too recorded a week-on-week gain of 0.58% to end the week at Rs. 2029.61 billion. The Banking and Finance sector contributed 30.99% (Rs.582.38 billion) to the week's total market turnover value while the Diversified sector added LKR 535.66mn or 28.50%. The Food and Beverages sector - aided by Ceylon Tabacco Company and Distilleries- accounted for 11.19% of total market turnover, amounting to LKR 210.28mn.

The highest contributor to total market turnover volume this week was the Banking and Finance sector which accounted for 61.21% (89.34mn shares) as 11.32 million shares of Amana Takaful Plc changed hands. The Manufacturing sector followed suit, contributing 9.62% to the market as 14.04million shares changed hands, while 7.71mn shares (5.28%) were traded in the Land and property. Market Review

Serendib Land Plc led the price gainers’ list recording an increase of 42.10% to close at LKR 2100.00 (relative to last week's LKR 1477.80). Agstar Fertilizers Ltd followed behind, closing at LKR 10.60, up 13.98% from last week's closing price of LKR 9.30; Kelsey Developments Plc meanwhile gained 13.97% to close the week at LKR 15.50. Also amongst the top price gainers’ was Ceylinco Insurance Plc and Sunshine Holdings Plc which gained 13.83% and 11.52%, respectively over the week.

The week's top price losers’ was led by Gestetner which lost 27.71% to close at LKR 215.00 from last week's close of LKR 297.40. Central Finance Company declined 22.28% to close at LKR 153.10 while Hayleys-MGT closed at LKR 10.00, down 13.79% from its previous close of LKR 11.60

Foreign participation on the bourse this week recorded a net inflow of Rs. 142.83mn, averaging LKR 28.57mn relative to last week's daily average net buying position of LKR 9.11mn. Daily average foreign purchases amounted to LKR 150.05mn relative to last week's average of LKR 27.75mn, while daily average foreign sales amounted to LKR 121.49mn. In terms of volume, Overseas’ Realty and Blue Diamond (voting & non-voting) led foreign purchases, while Dialog and Swarnamahal Finance led foreign sales.

In terms of value however, Ceylon Tobacco and Commercial Bank led the foreign purchase transactions for the week.

Markets commenced the week on a lackluster note with average turnover levels at LKR 0.3bn by mid-week. The SEC's removal of the 10.0% price band imposed to curb stock price volatility revived markets on Thursday however, with markets rallying 111 points amid invigorated retail investor confidence.

Profit taking on Friday nevertheless, pushed markets down 61 points although turnover levels for the day (0.6bn) was the highest for the week.

We expect market activity in the week ahead to show moderate improvement given the end of the recent spate of holidays. Markets are also likely to respond positively to the upgrades in the trading system expected next week.

The LKR meanwhile depreciated 1.4% against the USD amid significant importer dollar demand and as the currency market braces itself for the possibility of the Central Bank stopping its supply of dollars to meet oil import bills.


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